Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. Murphy has announced he is running for a third term. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) hasnt said whether shell seek reelection next year, but even if she does, shes certain to find herself in one of the closest-watched Senate contests in 2024. (Al Drago/Pool via AP). Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 48 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. Since 1980, only twice has more than two democrat incumbents been defeated." Const. [6] Should Carper retire, U.S. Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE) and Governor John Carney are both seen as potential candidates for the Democratic nomination, with Rochester having already expressed interest. If he decides to retire from the Senate, it would almost certainly take the seat out of play for Democrats. [72], Three-term Democrat Ben Cardin was re-elected in 2018 with 64.9% of the vote. Other potential Republican challengers include businessman Sam Brown, a candidate for the Republican nomination for Senate in 2022, reality television personality Rick Harrison, and venture capitalist Guy Nohra. The 2024 Senate race in Arizona is already shaping up to be a chaotic one: Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.) left the Democratic Party last year to become an Independent, and potential Democratic challengers, including Rep. Ruben Gallego (Ariz.), are eyeing her seat. art. The majority partywill seek to defend their incumbents in key races again Republican rivals as they look to maintain their slim majority in a presidentialelection year where President Joe Biden will likelybe seeking hissecond term. (AP Photo/J. narrowly eked out a win in 2018, defeating Republican Matt Rosendale by a scant 3.5-point margin. Theres also the fact that Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) was recently diagnosed with prostate cancer, raising questions about what it might mean for his 2024 reelection bid. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. Cruz, Hawley and Rick Scott, whose seats are up in 2024, have chosen to seek re-election rather than roll the dice on a White House run. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona have complicated their own re-election fortunes for 2024.. Why it matters: While Democrats have a credible chance to hold onto a narrow Senate majority this year, they're staring at a rough political map in two years, when both of those seats are . 33 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve 6-year terms in the U.S. Congress from January 3, 2025, to January 3, 2031, and one special election will be held to complete an unexpired term ending January 3, 2027. I feel great. Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Updated on: February 14, 2023 / 4:46 PM / CBS News. [91] Former Representative of New York's 1st congressional district and Republican nominee for Governor of New York in 2022, Lee Zeldin, has publicly expressed interest in seeking the Republican nomination to challenge Gillibrand.[92]. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions. Sen. Pat Toomey's (R) retirement and President Biden's narrow victory in the Keystone State in 2020 have . Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. Stabenow announced on Jan. 5, she will not run for reelection in 2024. Sen. Sinema is up for reelection in 2024, and her critics are looking for a primary challenger. Former President Trump carried it by more than 16 points in 2020, while Sen. Steve Daines (R) won reelection by a 10-point margin. .split-cols-c-list { Brown is the only Democrat to win a . 10/05/2022 04:30 AM EDT. Potential Democratic candidates include former Vermont attorney general, T. J. Donovan,[107] and incumbent Vermont lieutenant governor, David Zuckerman,[108] a Progressive. columns: 3; Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) speaks during a news conference on Sept. 20, 2022, at the Capitol in Washington. [99], Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. [112], Four-term Democrat Maria Cantwell was re-elected in 2018 with 58.3% of the vote. Both Manchin and Tester are also up for reelection next year in states where the GOP dominates. Though he won't make a final determination on whether to run again until early next year, he told . @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { } Republicans picked up four seats and Democrats picked up two seats. columns: 1; Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich., speaks outside the state Capitol in Lansing, Mich., Jan. 1, 2023. Governor Greg Gianforte is also seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination, as his first term expires in January 2025, and this is just in time for reelection or a Senate run.[83]. Sen. Dianne Feinstein announced Tuesday that she won't run for reelection in 2024, clearing the field for a younger . Incumbents up for election in these three states are independents. One-term independent Kyrsten Sinema was elected in 2018 as a Democrat with 50.0% of the vote. Theres also the fact that Tester hasnt yet committed to running for another term in the Senate. The interactive map provides a series of purple shades to use in these three states, in addition to the regular D/R colors. columns: 3; Romney has expressed uncertainty over his political future following his votes to convict Trump on impeachment. Braun is retiring to prepare to run for Governor of Indiana instead. Im definitely running, said Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), who ousted a GOP incumbent in 2018. The 2024 Senate race in Michigan appeared promising for Democrats just a couple of weeks ago. The National Republican Senatorial Committee announced Thursday that Graham, who won reelection in 2020, will lead an effort to raise funds for the Republican nominees in the 2024 Senate elections in Montana, Ohio and West Virginia. Democrats say that Brown has a unique ability to talk to working-class voters and a proven ability to resonate in an increasingly red state. Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was reelected in 2018. The Democrats held a 58-seat majority going into the election, with the Republicans at 38 seats and the rising Libertarians with 4 seats. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. -webkit-columns: 1; Republicans are playing defense in November: the party is in control of the Senate and White House, and will have to defend 23 seats compared to the 12 Senate Democrats who are up for reelection. } If O'Rourke wins the Democratic nomination, then this would be a rematch of 2018 between him and Cruz. .split-cols-c-list { Of course, the big question is whether Brown can do it again. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the House, will also be held on this date. Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, which Trump won by 8 points, said he still plans to run for reelection in his red-tilting state, a big shot in the arm for Schumer and whoever chairs the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. While Fetterman won his race last year, Democrats and many Republicans say that Oz was a particularly weak candidate. Even prominent Republicans who aren't up for reelection in the 2024 cycle, such as Sens. Candidate lists may be incomplete until each state's filing deadline has passed. Those in ME/VT are part of the Democratic caucus, while Sen. Sinema in AZ is more loosely affiliated. [2][3][4] Another Republican, Ben Sasse, resigned early to accept a position as president of the University of Florida; the governor of Nebraska appointed Pete Ricketts as the state's interim senator and a special election will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections to fill the seat for the remainder of the term. Special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur in the 118th Congress. 2022 Republican nominee for governor, Tudor Dixon, 2022 candidate for Governor, Kevin Rinke, former Michigan Attorney General and Republican nominee for Governor in 2018, Bill Schuette, and former U.S. Secretary of Education, Betsy DeVos, are all seen as a potential candidate. We try not to talk about it til it starts.. [68][69], Former Senator Joe Donnelly is a potential challenger for the Democratic nomination in an effort to win back a seat that he lost in 2018. One special election is also scheduled for November 5, 2024. Host Maria Bartiromo asked the senator . Return here to share it. In the first post-redistricting election members are divided into two classes; one class shall serve a 2-year term and the other class shall serve a 4-year term. Apply today! Democrat Ty Pinkins is running against Wicker. | Copy Code. Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. They won't face voters until 2024, and by then, who knows? A Tuesday report from POLITICO indicates that that potential challenger, Utah Attorney . With Democrats . [52] Sinema has received a cross-party endorsement from Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). United States House of Representatives elections, 2024, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_Senate_elections,_2024&oldid=9073407, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. Here are eight Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024: Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) speaks during a House Armed Services Committee hearing on July 9, 2020, on Capitol Hill in Washington. U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party. Congressmen Bill Huizenga and Mike Rogers, former Congressman Peter Meijer (2021-2023), and Congresswoman Lisa McClain have all expressed interest in running for the Republican nomination. [96] State Senator and Republican nominee for Governor in 2022, Doug Mastriano, has also expressed interest in seeking the Republican nomination. [106], Former U.S. representative Jason Chaffetz is also seen as a potential primary challenger, and Gabriel Loco-Blanco has filed paperwork to run.[104]. That fact alone makes Nevada one of the GOPs best pickup opportunities for 2024. WASHINGTON (AP) President Joe Biden visited the Senate on Thursday to demonstrate unity among Democrats but he ended up endorsing a Republican priority instead. A 50-50 Senate means control is on the line, and eight seats evenly split between Democrats and Republicans are considered competitive in 2022. . Two times as many Democrat incumbents are up for reelection. She announced she would not caucus with Republicans. Every one of my decisions are made basically after talking to family, and some of my close friends who have been advising me over the years. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. [57], Five-term Democrat Dianne Feinstein was re-elected in 2018 with 54.2% of the vote. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has no plans other than to run for reelection.. Also tells me he "seriously will consider it". "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents," Everett writes in his headline, not mincing words. Cardin is currently deciding on a potential retirement. Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) As Cruz has supported legislation limiting senators to . Former President Donald Trump won Montana by 16 points and West Virginia by 39 points, but Democrats concerns extend further afield. Mariam Zuhaib/AP Photo, Im gonna listen to people in Delaware, and Im going to listen to my wife. OnPolitics: Trump's GOP support craters, pollshows. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., speaks onstage during the Vox Media's 2022 Code Conference on . if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["hCF0u"]={},window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].embedDeltas={"100":631,"200":498,"300":449,"400":435,"500":400,"600":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":386},window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-hCF0u"),window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("hCF0u"==b)window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); There are 33 U.S. Senate seats up for regular election in 202410 seats held by Republicans, 20 held by Democrats, and three held by independents who caucus with Democrats. She left the Democratic Party in December 2022. I am all in. If he ultimately decides to step aside, it would deprive Democrats of a battle-tested incumbent who they believe has the best shot of holding the seat. December Harmon, a member of the Columbia Police Review Board, has also announced a run for the Democratic nomination. [101], John Love III, former Midland Mayor pro tempore, and candidate for Senate in 2020, has announced a bid for the Democratic nomination. Use the buttons below the map to share it on social media or embed it into a web page. Not only will they be defending more than twice as many Senate seats as Republicans, but theyll likely be on the ballot with President Biden, whose approval rating remains relatively low. The United States Senate Election in 2026 was held on November 3, 2026. As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map. Hirono is running for a third term. That sets up a potentially fraught political predicament for the president, who is expected to soon announce his 2024 campaign, given how Republicans have and continue to emphasize public safety and crime as major concerns. And this is not the place for that announcement. And just last year, Wisconsin voters handed Sen. Ron Johnson (R) another term in the Senate, choosing a staunch conservative ally of Trump over now-former Lt. Gov. By helping Democrats pass a landmark $750 billion climate, tax and health care bill, Sens. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) said that I think Im gonna run for re-election, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said shes made it very clear shes running again, and Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) said running again is my goal. Before he had his first midterm in 1926, Coolidge was re-elected as president in 1924. But the much bigger wheels in the wheeling and dealing, senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, aren't up for reelection in 2022 at all. Indiana: Mike Braun (Braun is running for Governor in 2024. As a result, it is a possibility he may also seek the Republican nomination. The congressional approval rating indicates public satisfaction in the job performance of the members of the United States Congress. FILE - Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, right, speaks with reporters at a rally for Ohio gubernatorial candidate Nan Whaley in Cincinnati, Nov. 3, 2022. After all, shes won twice before by solid margins. Three senators are up for reelection in deep red states. Special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur in the 118th Congress.. Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 10 seats are held by Republicans, 20 seats are held by Democrats and three seats are held by independents who caucus with Democrats. One-term Republican Kevin Cramer was elected in 2018 with 55.1% of the vote. Jim Pillen will select his replacement", https://nebraska.tv/news/local/lt-col-ret-john-glen-weaver-running-for-nebraskas-open-class-ii-us-senate-seat, https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/13/politics/senate-race-rankings-february-elections/index.html, https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-pennsylvania-arizona-nevada-new-york-6a8b17c560e545e4124e61fa14b3f4ad, https://www.reviewjournal.com/opinion/opinion-columns/victor-joecks/victor-joecks-a-2022-paradox-nv-gop-disappoints-and-outperforms-its-peers-2679618/, https://newjerseymonitor.com/2023/02/28/a-democratic-mayor-wants-to-run-against-sen-menendez-will-the-party-let-him/, https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/democrats-to-dr-oz-run-for-office-as-a-republican-in-new-jersey-please/, "New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand launches reelection bid", https://www.timesunion.com/state/article/zeldin-keeps-run-gillibrand-u-s-senate-table-17767024.php, "Kristin Hedger FEC Statement of Candidacy", "LaRose cruises to GOP nomination for secretary of state", https://www.abc27.com/pennsylvania-senate-race/dave-mccormick-considering-2024-pennsylvania-u-s-senate-race-report/amp/, "GOP sets its sights on Bob Casey's Senate seat", https://rollcall.com/2022/12/22/at-the-races-disarray-ok/, "Where does Dr. Oz and his reputation go from here? [109], Two-term Democrat Tim Kaine was re-elected in 2018 with 57.0% of the vote. All 33 Class 1 Senate seats and one Class 2 seat are up for election in 2024; Class 1 currently consists of 20 Democrats, 3 independents who caucus with the Senate Democrats, and 10 Republicans. Biden carried it in 2020 by less than 1 percentage point after Trump narrowly won it in 2016. Three United States Senators are not seeking re-election to their U.S. Senate seats (not including those who left office early): !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r

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